A Rethink of Bitcoin’s Market “Dominance”
When discussing the most prominent player in the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (BTC) makes an almost automatic appearance. Its market dominance is often referred to as a seminal indicator of the cryptocurrency’s strength, presently standing at a multi-year high of over 51%.
Is “Bitcoin Dominance” Truly Informative?
On closer scrutiny, it appears that the “Bitcoin dominance” may not be as insightful as one might conceive, especially in the light of the broader dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.
Dubbed “Bitcoin dominance”, the term signifies BTC’s percentage of the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies. This metric may ostensibly seem like a faithful representation of Bitcoin’s market might. However, it is majorly indicative of the trading activity occurring between Bitcoin and Ether (ETH), the second largest cryptocurrency and the biggest alternative coin by market cap. This dynamic has the capacity to skew the apparent dominance of Bitcoin, particularly during significant shifts within the ETH/BTC trading pair.
Ethereum and Stablecoin Complexity Interplay
The concept of “Bitcoin dominance” also becomes complex to interpret due to the function of stablecoins like Tether (USDT), currently the second-largest “altcoin” by market prevalence at around 6.3%. The growth in the market cap of USDT is often independent of the cryptocurrency market activity. It is more frequently a result of what some term as “sidelined” capital – essentially funds in dollars, waiting to find their place in the market sooner or later.
Such a rise in the market cap of stablecoins does not necessarily denote investment in cryptos. Instead, it reflects investors’ readiness to engage with or hedge their crypto exposure. Notably, the share that is neither Bitcoin, ETH nor USDT holds only approximately 25% of the market and is declining from the multi-year highs of 35% achieved in 2022.
Do BTC & ETH Interactions Reflect Bitcoin’s Strength?
The story of Bitcoin’s dominance has seen its highs and lows throughout 2023. Earlier on, it seemed to recover dominance, reflective more of the ETH/BTC trading dynamics than an all-inclusive market movement. There were moments when Bitcoin’s dominance appeared to recede due to factors like the impact of the Shapella upgrade on ETH prices. These instances, however, were more typical of the Ethereum market movements than a decrease in Bitcoin’s overall market “strength.”
Therefore, the dominance chart may not be regarded as the ultimate metric for gauging Bitcoin’s position in the market. Influenced heavily by the ETH/BTC trading pair, and synthetic dollars, it offers a somewhat narrow perspective of the market. Fundamentally, a more nuanced approach towards market metrics is required, one that takes into consideration the multifaceted nature of cryptocurrency investments and movements.
This post is not intended as investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.